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Maria Faith Saligumba

The Sun Will Swallow Mercury (And Maybe Earth Too) in 5 Billion Years

Maria Faith Saligumba

Imagine standing on Earth’s surface and watching the Sun grow so massive that it begins devouring planets one by one. This isn’t science fiction—it’s the inevitable fate that awaits our solar system in approximately 5 billion years. While we won’t be around to witness this cosmic spectacle, the story of our Sun’s transformation from a life-giving star to a planet-consuming giant is one of the most fascinating chapters in stellar evolution.

The Stellar Clock Is Already Ticking

The Stellar Clock Is Already Ticking (image credits: unsplash)
The Stellar Clock Is Already Ticking (image credits: unsplash)

Every second, our Sun converts about 600 million tons of hydrogen into helium through nuclear fusion in its core. This process has been powering our star for roughly 4.6 billion years, and it’s already halfway through its main sequence lifetime. The nuclear furnace burning at the Sun’s heart operates at temperatures exceeding 15 million degrees Celsius, creating the perfect conditions for hydrogen atoms to fuse together.

As the Sun ages, subtle changes are already occurring that will eventually lead to its dramatic expansion. The helium ash from billions of years of fusion is slowly accumulating in the core, making it denser and hotter. This process gradually increases the Sun’s luminosity by about 1% every 100 million years.

When Hydrogen Runs Out, Everything Changes

When Hydrogen Runs Out, Everything Changes (image credits: unsplash)
When Hydrogen Runs Out, Everything Changes (image credits: unsplash)

The real drama begins when the Sun exhausts its hydrogen fuel in the core. Without the outward pressure from nuclear fusion to counteract gravity’s inward pull, the core will begin to contract rapidly. This contraction will heat the core to even higher temperatures, eventually reaching the point where helium can begin fusing into carbon and oxygen.

The shell of hydrogen surrounding the depleted core will continue burning, but this process is far less stable than core fusion. Temperature fluctuations will cause the Sun’s outer layers to expand and contract in cycles, marking the beginning of its transformation into a red giant star. These pulsations will be visible from Earth as dramatic changes in the Sun’s brightness.

The Sun’s Spectacular Growth Spurt

The Sun's Spectacular Growth Spurt (image credits: unsplash)
The Sun’s Spectacular Growth Spurt (image credits: unsplash)

During its red giant phase, the Sun will expand to truly astronomical proportions. Current models suggest it will grow to between 200 and 300 times its current size, with its surface potentially reaching beyond Earth’s orbit. To put this in perspective, if the Sun were the size of a basketball today, it would grow to be larger than a football stadium.

This expansion won’t happen overnight—it will take place over hundreds of millions of years. The Sun’s surface temperature will drop to about 3,000 degrees Celsius, giving it a distinctly reddish appearance. Despite the cooler surface, the Sun will actually become much more luminous, possibly thousands of times brighter than it is today.

Mercury’s Inevitable Demise

Mercury's Inevitable Demise (image credits: unsplash)
Mercury’s Inevitable Demise (image credits: unsplash)

Mercury, the closest planet to the Sun, will be the first casualty of this stellar transformation. As the Sun’s outer layers expand, they will gradually engulf the small, rocky planet. The intense heat and gravitational forces will tear Mercury apart, with its atoms becoming part of the Sun’s extended atmosphere.

The process won’t be gentle—Mercury will experience extreme tidal forces as it spirals inward toward the Sun’s core. The planet’s surface will be stripped away layer by layer, creating a spectacular light show as its material is vaporized and ionized. This cosmic demolition will leave no trace of the planet that once orbited closest to our star.

Venus Faces the Fire

Venus Faces the Fire (image credits: unsplash)
Venus Faces the Fire (image credits: unsplash)

Venus, despite being farther from the Sun than Mercury, may also fall victim to the expanding red giant. The planet’s thick atmosphere, which currently creates a runaway greenhouse effect, will offer little protection against the Sun’s swollen outer layers. Computer simulations suggest that Venus has roughly a 50% chance of being consumed during the red giant phase.

If Venus does survive the initial expansion, it will still face an incredibly hostile environment. The Sun’s increased luminosity will heat the planet to temperatures that would vaporize any remaining atmosphere. The surface will become molten, creating a hellish world even more extreme than the Venus we know today.

Earth’s Uncertain Future

Earth's Uncertain Future (image credits: unsplash)
Earth’s Uncertain Future (image credits: unsplash)

Earth’s fate remains one of the most debated topics in stellar evolution. While some models suggest our planet might survive the Sun’s red giant phase, others predict it will be consumed along with Mercury and Venus. The key factor is exactly how large the Sun will become and how the planets’ orbits will change as the Sun loses mass.

Even if Earth survives being swallowed, it won’t remain habitable. The intense radiation from the red giant Sun will boil away our oceans and strip away our atmosphere. The planet will become a barren, scorched rock, uninhabitable for billions of years before the Sun eventually cools down.

The Outer Planets Get a Temporary Reprieve

The Outer Planets Get a Temporary Reprieve (image credits: unsplash)
The Outer Planets Get a Temporary Reprieve (image credits: unsplash)

Mars, Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, and Neptune will initially benefit from the Sun’s increased luminosity. The outer solar system will warm up significantly, potentially making some of their moons temporarily habitable. Europa and Enceladus, with their subsurface oceans, might experience a brief golden age as their icy shells melt.

However, this warming period will be short-lived in cosmic terms. As the Sun continues to evolve, it will eventually shed its outer layers and shrink into a white dwarf star. The outer planets will then be plunged into eternal winter, frozen in the dim light of the Sun’s dying embers.

The Helium Flash: A Stellar Explosion

The Helium Flash: A Stellar Explosion (image credits: unsplash)
The Helium Flash: A Stellar Explosion (image credits: unsplash)

One of the most dramatic events in the Sun’s evolution will be the helium flash. When the Sun’s core becomes hot enough for helium fusion to begin, it will do so suddenly and violently. The energy released in this event will be equivalent to the Sun’s current output for several million years, all released in a matter of seconds.

This explosion will cause the Sun’s outer layers to expand even more rapidly, potentially reaching sizes that dwarf even the largest red giant stars. The helium flash marks a critical transition point in stellar evolution, fundamentally changing how the Sun produces energy and how it affects the surrounding planets.

Mass Loss and Planetary Nebulae

Mass Loss and Planetary Nebulae (image credits: unsplash)
Mass Loss and Planetary Nebulae (image credits: unsplash)

As the Sun pulsates during its red giant phase, it will gradually shed its outer layers into space. These expelled gases will form beautiful, glowing clouds called planetary nebulae—some of the most visually stunning objects in the universe. The Ring Nebula and Cat’s Eye Nebula are examples of what our Sun might create.

This mass loss will have profound effects on planetary orbits throughout the solar system. As the Sun becomes less massive, the gravitational forces holding the planets in their orbits will weaken. This could cause planets to drift outward, potentially saving Earth from being consumed but condemning it to a frozen existence.

The Birth of a White Dwarf

The Birth of a White Dwarf (image credits: unsplash)
The Birth of a White Dwarf (image credits: unsplash)

After shedding most of its mass, the Sun will collapse into a white dwarf star—a dense, hot remnant about the size of Earth but containing most of the Sun’s original mass. This tiny star will be incredibly hot initially, with surface temperatures reaching 100,000 degrees Celsius. However, it will produce very little light compared to the Sun we know today.

White dwarf stars cool down extremely slowly, taking trillions of years to fade completely. The Sun’s white dwarf remnant will continue to shine long after the last red giant stars in the universe have died. It will be a cosmic lighthouse, marking the location of our former solar system for eons to come.

What Happens to Life on Earth

What Happens to Life on Earth (image credits: unsplash)
What Happens to Life on Earth (image credits: unsplash)

Long before the Sun becomes a red giant, life on Earth will face extinction from the gradually increasing solar luminosity. In about 1 billion years, the Sun will be bright enough to boil away Earth’s oceans, making the planet uninhabitable for complex life. This gives evolution roughly the same amount of time it took to develop from single-celled organisms to humans.

However, life might find ways to adapt or relocate. Some scientists speculate that by the time the Sun begins its red giant phase, life might have spread to other star systems or found ways to survive in the outer solar system. The moons of Jupiter and Saturn could become temporary refuges during the Sun’s expansion.

Could We Prevent This Cosmic Catastrophe?

Could We Prevent This Cosmic Catastrophe? (image credits: unsplash)
Could We Prevent This Cosmic Catastrophe? (image credits: unsplash)

While we can’t stop the Sun from evolving, theoretical physicists have proposed some incredibly ambitious solutions. One idea involves using massive stellar engines to move the entire solar system to a younger star. Another suggests removing mass from the Sun to extend its main sequence lifetime, though this would require technology far beyond our current capabilities.

More realistic approaches might involve moving Earth to a safer orbit or constructing artificial habitats in space. These solutions would require advances in technology that we can barely imagine today, but they demonstrate humanity’s potential to survive even the most extreme cosmic events.

Observing Similar Events in Other Star Systems

Observing Similar Events in Other Star Systems (image credits: flickr)
Observing Similar Events in Other Star Systems (image credits: flickr)

Astronomers have already observed red giant stars consuming their planets in other parts of the galaxy. The star BD+48 740 shows evidence of having recently devoured a planet, while observations of white dwarf stars reveal the signatures of rocky material in their atmospheres—the remains of consumed worlds.

These observations provide valuable insights into what will happen to our own solar system. They confirm that planetary consumption is a common occurrence during stellar evolution and help refine our models of the Sun’s future behavior. Each new discovery adds another piece to the puzzle of stellar death and planetary destruction.

The Timeline of Destruction

The Timeline of Destruction (image credits: unsplash)
The Timeline of Destruction (image credits: unsplash)

The Sun’s transformation won’t happen all at once—it will unfold over hundreds of millions of years. The initial expansion into a red giant will take about 100 million years, during which the Sun will gradually grow larger and brighter. The most dramatic phase, when planets are actually consumed, will occur over a period of tens of millions of years.

After the red giant phase, the Sun will spend another few hundred million years as an unstable star, pulsating and shedding mass. The final collapse into a white dwarf will be relatively quick, taking only a few thousand years. This timeline gives us a detailed roadmap of the solar system’s ultimate fate.

Implications for the Search for Life

Implications for the Search for Life (image credits: unsplash)
Implications for the Search for Life (image credits: unsplash)

The fate of our solar system has profound implications for the search for life elsewhere in the universe. Every star will eventually evolve and potentially destroy its planets, which means that life must either adapt to these changes or spread to other star systems to survive. This creates a cosmic imperative for intelligent life to become spacefaring.

The study of stellar evolution also helps us understand which types of stars are most likely to host long-lived civilizations. Red dwarf stars, which burn much more slowly than our Sun, might be better candidates for supporting life over cosmic timescales. These insights shape our strategies for searching for extraterrestrial intelligence.

The Beauty in Destruction

The Beauty in Destruction (image credits: flickr)
The Beauty in Destruction (image credits: flickr)

While the death of the Sun and the consumption of planets sounds catastrophic, it’s important to remember that this process is part of the natural cycle of stellar evolution. The elements created in the Sun’s core during its lifetime will be dispersed into space, eventually becoming part of new stars and planets.

The calcium in our bones, the iron in our blood, and the oxygen we breathe were all created in the cores of dying stars similar to what our Sun will become. In destroying planets, the Sun will also be seeding the galaxy with the raw materials needed for future worlds and potentially future life.

A Cosmic Perspective on Time

A Cosmic Perspective on Time (image credits: unsplash)
A Cosmic Perspective on Time (image credits: unsplash)

The 5-billion-year timeline until the Sun becomes a red giant is almost incomprehensibly long compared to human experience. To put this in perspective, 5 billion years ago, Earth was still a young planet with only primitive single-celled life. Complex life, dinosaurs, and humans have all evolved in just the last billion years.

This vast timescale suggests that if humanity survives, we will likely be unrecognizable by the time the Sun begins its death throes. We might have evolved into something entirely different, spread across multiple star systems, or transcended our biological origins altogether. The species that witnesses the Sun’s transformation into a red giant may bear little resemblance to the humans of today.

The Sun’s eventual expansion into a red giant and consumption of Mercury represents one of the most certain predictions in astronomy. While Earth’s fate remains uncertain, the broader story of stellar evolution will play out exactly as our models predict. This cosmic drama reminds us that even the most stable-seeming aspects of our universe are temporary, subject to the relentless march of time and the fundamental forces of physics. The Sun that has nurtured life on Earth for billions of years will ultimately become the destroyer of worlds, completing a cycle that has played out countless times throughout cosmic history. What fascinating new chapters might unfold in the 5 billion years before this stellar transformation begins?

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